Do surebets work? What our members tracked since 2024
Every figure on this page comes from the surebets NinjaBet members logged in their own Bet Tracker and settled: no projection, no simulation. A surebet locks a small margin at the odds you take; this is what that margin turned into with real sportsbooks, real stakes and real mistakes.
Tracked since Aug 2024 Updated Nov 6, 2026
Self-reported surebets: members choose what they log.
- Return on turnover
- +3.2%
- Net profit
- $101,663
- Settled surebets
- 18,141
- Closed in profit
- 87.3%
Cumulative profit, month by month
The dashed line is the profit that would have built up on the same turnover at the period's average return (+3.2%): the actual profit moves around it and meets it at the end.
Results by year
| Year | Surebets | Turnover | Profit | Return | Closed in profit | Profitable months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8,585 | $2,043,244 | $63,031 | +3.1% | 91.2% | 11/11 |
| 2025 | 6,268 | $804,363 | $28,209 | +3.5% | 86.4% | 12/12 |
| 2024 | 3,288 | $294,150 | $10,423 | +3.5% | 78.6% | 5/5 |
The last 12 months
| Month | Surebets | Turnover | Profit | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | 216 | $41,161 | $2,441 | $101,663 |
| Oct 2026 | 1,109 | $193,053 | $4,813 | $99,222 |
| Sep 2026 | 856 | $185,916 | $9,266 | $94,409 |
| Aug 2026 | 761 | $125,100 | $4,646 | $85,143 |
| Jul 2026 | 925 | $199,846 | $6,657 | $80,497 |
| Jun 2026 | 789 | $256,918 | $6,655 | $73,841 |
| May 2026 | 804 | $212,987 | $5,257 | $67,185 |
| Apr 2026 | 930 | $210,634 | $5,833 | $61,928 |
| Mar 2026 | 838 | $205,591 | $5,702 | $56,096 |
| Feb 2026 | 721 | $165,983 | $5,210 | $50,393 |
| Jan 2026 | 636 | $246,056 | $6,552 | $45,184 |
| Dec 2025 | 267 | $28,636 | $1,203 | $38,631 |
Why a surebet can still lose
The odds members took locked in an average margin of +2.3%; the actual return on turnover was +3.2%. The gap is what these four things cost.
-
Palps
A sportsbook can void or re-price a bet it calls an obvious error after you placed it. The other legs then run on their own.
-
Voided legs
A game postponed or abandoned, or a market two sportsbooks settle differently, can void one leg and leave the other open.
-
Rounded stakes and moving odds
Stakes rounded to whole units, or odds that drop before you place the second leg, shave the margin or wipe it out.
-
Account limits
Sportsbooks can limit the stakes of accounts that keep taking surebets, so a leg may not go through in full.
Track your own surebets: save them from the calculator to the Bet Tracker. Open the Bet Tracker
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Frequently asked questions
Does a surebet always win?
No. A surebet locks a margin at the odds you take, but palps, voided legs, rounded stakes and account limits can turn one into a loss. That is why this page shows how many surebets closed in profit, not only the margin.
How much do surebets return?
Members' tracked return on turnover is a small percentage per surebet, so the money depends on your bankroll and on how many surebets you place. The figures on this page are those members' own results, not a promise.
Why is the return lower than the margin?
The margin is what the odds lock in with ideal stakes. Real stakes are rounded, odds move while you place the legs, and a palp or a voided leg now and then costs more than many margins together.
Can I see my own surebet results?
Yes. Save each surebet from the SureBet calculator to the Bet Tracker with the Tracker button: the tracker keeps every leg and shows your profit over time.