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Do surebets work? What our members tracked since 2024

Every figure on this page comes from the surebets NinjaBet members logged in their own Bet Tracker and settled: no projection, no simulation. A surebet locks a small margin at the odds you take; this is what that margin turned into with real sportsbooks, real stakes and real mistakes.

Tracked since Aug 2024 Updated Oct 17, 2026

Self-reported surebets: members choose what they log.

Return on turnover
+3.2%
Net profit
$95,510
Settled surebets
17,234
Closed in profit
87.1%

Cumulative profit, month by month

The dashed line is the profit that would have built up on the same turnover at the period's average return (+3.2%): the actual profit moves around it and meets it at the end.

Results by year

YearSurebetsTurnoverProfitReturnClosed in profitProfitable months
20267,678$1,880,978$56,929+3.0%91.4%10/10
20256,268$803,308$28,172+3.5%86.4%12/12
20243,288$293,769$10,409+3.5%78.6%5/5

The last 12 months

MonthSurebetsTurnoverProfitCumulative
Oct 2026424$74,987$1,250$95,510
Sep 2026850$185,009$9,228$94,260
Aug 2026761$124,935$4,640$85,032
Jul 2026925$199,583$6,648$80,392
Jun 2026789$256,581$6,647$73,744
May 2026804$212,708$5,250$67,097
Apr 2026930$210,357$5,825$61,848
Mar 2026838$205,321$5,695$56,022
Feb 2026721$165,765$5,203$50,327
Jan 2026636$245,733$6,544$45,125
Dec 2025267$28,599$1,201$38,581
Nov 2025576$65,963$1,957$37,380

Why a surebet can still lose

The odds members took locked in an average margin of +2.4%; the actual return on turnover was +3.2%. The gap is what these four things cost.

  • Palps

    A sportsbook can void or re-price a bet it calls an obvious error after you placed it. The other legs then run on their own.

  • Voided legs

    A game postponed or abandoned, or a market two sportsbooks settle differently, can void one leg and leave the other open.

  • Rounded stakes and moving odds

    Stakes rounded to whole units, or odds that drop before you place the second leg, shave the margin or wipe it out.

  • Account limits

    Sportsbooks can limit the stakes of accounts that keep taking surebets, so a leg may not go through in full.

Track your own surebets: save them from the calculator to the Bet Tracker. Open the Bet Tracker

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Frequently asked questions

Does a surebet always win?

No. A surebet locks a margin at the odds you take, but palps, voided legs, rounded stakes and account limits can turn one into a loss. That is why this page shows how many surebets closed in profit, not only the margin.

How much do surebets return?

Members' tracked return on turnover is a small percentage per surebet, so the money depends on your bankroll and on how many surebets you place. The figures on this page are those members' own results, not a promise.

Why is the return lower than the margin?

The margin is what the odds lock in with ideal stakes. Real stakes are rounded, odds move while you place the legs, and a palp or a voided leg now and then costs more than many margins together.

Can I see my own surebet results?

Yes. Save each surebet from the SureBet calculator to the Bet Tracker with the Tracker button: the tracker keeps every leg and shows your profit over time.

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