Use the Conditional Calculator when an offer includes:

• A Cash bet that must be placed first;
• A bonus that is received only if the offer condition is satisfied.

The Conditional Calculator is different from the standard Calculator because it works with two linked calculations at the same time: one for the real-money bet and one for the expected bonus conversion.

1. Open the Conditional Calculator

Open the Conditional Calculator from the NinjaBet tools area.

The tool is divided into two panels:

• Cash - for the initial bet required by the offer;
• Bonus - for the expected conversion value of the future bonus.

At the bottom, the calculator shows the Total Conditional Profit, which combines the result of both parts.

2. Complete the Cash Panel

Use the Cash panel to calculate the first part of the offer: the bet you place before the bonus is received.

Enter:

• The stake of the cash bet.
• The American odds of the main sportsbook bet.
• The cover odds - the price of the opposite outcome on ProphetX or another sportsbook.
• The ProphetX commission (2% on net winnings) when you cover on ProphetX.

You can add extra covering bets when more than one opposite outcome must be covered.

3. Complete the Bonus Panel

Use the Bonus panel to estimate the value of the bonus that may be credited if the offer condition is met.

Enter:

• The bonus stake;
• The Rating (est.);
• The cover odds;
• The ProphetX commission when you cover on ProphetX.

The Bonus panel does not ask for sportsbook odds for the main bet. Instead, it uses the bonus amount and the Rating (est.) to estimate the expected profit of the future bonus conversion.

4. Read the Results

Once the required values are entered, each panel shows:

• The calculated stake to place on the cover side;
• The overall profit or loss of that part of the operation;
• The related Bet Scenarios breakdown.

The calculator then combines both panels and displays the Total Conditional Profit at the bottom.

5. Decide Whether the Offer Is Worth Completing

The most important value in this tool is not the result of the Cash panel or the Bonus panel by themselves. It is the Total Conditional Profit.

This final result helps you understand whether:

• The expected bonus value is high enough to compensate for the cost of the initial bet;
• The offer is worth completing;
• A different bonus rating estimate or odds selection would improve the operation.

The two panels answer different questions.

Cash Panel

The Cash panel calculates the first part of the operation: the bet you place to activate or qualify for the offer. This panel shows the direct result of the real-money part of the strategy. In many cases, this may be a small controlled cost.

Bonus Panel

The Bonus panel estimates the value of the reward you may receive if the offer condition is met. Since the exact bonus conversion opportunity may not be known yet, the calculator uses the Rating (est.) to estimate how much profit the bonus is expected to generate.

Total Conditional Profit

The Total Conditional Profit combines both panels:

Expected bonus value - Cash bet cost

This is the key result for deciding whether the full conditional operation is attractive.

The Rating (est.) appears in the Bonus panel.

It represents the estimated efficiency of the future bonus conversion.

For example:

• A 95% rating means you expect to convert approximately 95% of the bonus value into profit in the estimated calculation;
• A lower rating gives a more conservative projection;
• A higher rating gives a more optimistic projection.

The calculator uses this value to estimate the future profit produced by the bonus.

Why the Rating Estimate Matters

The bonus has not been converted yet, so this part of the calculation is based on an assumption. If the rating estimate is too optimistic, the Total Conditional Profit may appear higher than what you are realistically likely to achieve.

For a safer evaluation, use a realistic estimate and check whether the operation is still worthwhile. The inspected calculator uses 95% as the default estimated rating.

You cover the main bet by betting on the opposite outcome or outcomes on ProphetX or at another sportsbook.

For example, if you bet the Under on a Totals (Over/Under) market, you can cover it by betting the Over.

Most US main markets - Moneyline, Point Spread, and Totals - have only two outcomes, so a single covering bet is enough. Some markets have more than two possible results, such as a 3-way line where a game can end with:

• Team A wins;
• a tie;
• Team B wins.

In those cases you may need more than one covering bet to cover every result.

These covers can be used independently in either the Cash panel or the Bonus panel.

Suppose an offer requires a $20 cash bet and may award a $20 bonus if the condition is met. You want to estimate the full operation, covering both parts on ProphetX.

Step By Step

1. Open the Conditional Calculator.
2. In the Cash panel:
   1. Enter the bet amount: $20.
   2. Enter the sportsbook odds, for example -110 on the Lakers moneyline.
   3. Enter the cover odds - the price of the opposite outcome (Celtics moneyline) on ProphetX, for example +100.
   4. Check that the ProphetX commission (2%) is correct.
3. In the Bonus panel:
   1. Enter the expected bonus amount: $20.
   2. Set the Rating (est.), for example 95%.
   3. Enter the cover odds for the estimated bonus conversion.
   4. Check the commission.
4. Review the result in the Cash panel.
5. Review the estimated result in the Bonus panel.
6. Check the Total Conditional Profit at the bottom.

This tells you whether the expected future value of the bonus is enough to make the full offer profitable.

Before relying on the result, verify the following.

1. The offer structure is understood correctly

Make sure the bonus is really awarded under the condition you are modeling.

2. The Cash panel matches the initial bet

The stake, odds, and commission must reflect the bet you actually plan to place.

3. The Bonus panel matches the expected reward

The bonus amount must correspond to the value you expect to receive from the offer.

4. The Rating (est.) is realistic

Do not overestimate the quality of the future bonus conversion.

5. The odds and commissions are entered correctly

Even small differences can change the projected result.

6. All necessary outcomes are covered

Make sure every required opposite outcome is included.

7. The Total Conditional Profit is acceptable

Do not judge the operation from only one panel. The combined total is what matters.

The Conditional Calculator is the tool to use when a sportsbook offer combines:

• An initial cash bet;
• A future bonus value;
• A final Total Conditional Profit that shows the estimated result of the full operation.

To use it correctly:

1. Open the Conditional Calculator.
2. Configure the Cash panel for the initial bet.
3. Configure the Bonus panel for the expected bonus amount.
4. Set a realistic Rating (est.).
5. Enter the stake, odds, and commissions.
6. Add additional covers when needed.
7. Review the betting scenarios for both panels.
8. Focus on the Total Conditional Profit.
9. Use that final result to decide whether the offer is worth completing.

Used correctly, the Conditional Calculator gives you a clear estimate of the full conditional operation: the immediate cost of the cash side and the expected value of the bonus that may follow.